Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.004077 0.004462 0.004875 0.005352 0.005891 0.006482 0.007181
2025-10-26 0.003408 0.003940 0.004551 0.005314 0.006246 0.007361 0.008808
2025-11-02 0.002997 0.003588 0.004301 0.005234 0.006442 0.007974 0.010105
2025-11-09 0.002740 0.003373 0.004165 0.005246 0.006710 0.008668 0.011557
2025-11-16 0.002513 0.003165 0.004005 0.005190 0.006860 0.009195 0.012827
2025-11-23 0.002310 0.002964 0.003828 0.005084 0.006915 0.009576 0.013915
2025-11-30 0.002192 0.002865 0.003776 0.005139 0.007194 0.010301 0.015623
2025-12-07 0.002123 0.002824 0.003798 0.005295 0.007631 0.011310 0.017940
2025-12-14 0.001996 0.002692 0.003677 0.005226 0.007708 0.011748 0.019340
2025-12-21 0.001872 0.002556 0.003539 0.005115 0.007703 0.012042 0.020517
2025-12-28 0.001776 0.002453 0.003443 0.005060 0.007781 0.012480 0.022028
2026-01-04 0.001714 0.002396 0.003410 0.005102 0.008022 0.013230 0.024279
2026-01-11 0.001626 0.002300 0.003317 0.005046 0.008105 0.013732 0.026184
2026-01-18 0.001550 0.002217 0.003239 0.005010 0.008222 0.014321 0.028424
2026-01-25 0.001472 0.002127 0.003143 0.004936 0.008260 0.014755 0.030401
2026-02-01 0.001419 0.002071 0.003100 0.004947 0.008456 0.015534 0.033380
2026-02-08 0.001357 0.001999 0.003024 0.004895 0.008524 0.016052 0.035825
2026-02-15 0.001292 0.001917 0.002928 0.004797 0.008490 0.016341 0.037736
2026-02-22 0.001258 0.001886 0.002913 0.004848 0.008761 0.017351 0.041919
2026-03-01 0.001242 0.001883 0.002947 0.004993 0.009241 0.018921 0.048237
2026-03-08 0.001193 0.001821 0.002876 0.004928 0.009269 0.019407 0.051342
2026-03-15 0.001141 0.001752 0.002788 0.004825 0.009202 0.019649 0.053721
2026-03-22 0.001100 0.001701 0.002728 0.004775 0.009246 0.020182 0.057282